The Inevitability of a One-State Solution: Israel and the Palestinian Conflict

Since the Six-Day War of June 1967, the landscape of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict has been significantly reshaped. The establishment of a Jewish majority in one state remains a contentious and evolving topic. While Israel's continued expansion into Palestinian territories has sometimes raised the specter of a one-state solution, it is important to understand the complexities and stakes involved.

Israel’s Territories and Expansions

Note that Israel does not plan to annex the entire space. Area C, which comprises approximately 60% of the space in Judea and Samaria (referred to as the West Bank by Palestinians and Israel), is home to a significant Jewish population. It makes sense, therefore, for Israel to aim for significant expansion in this area, although the full annexation of the territory would invite international backlash and the need to grant citizenship to Palestinians living there. Most Israeli settlements are located in Area C, indicative of this strategy.

Given the situation, the most likely outcome is that Israel will control its present territories, particularly Area C, alongside a small degree of semi-autonomy for Palestinians in Areas A and B. The future of Gaza remains uncertain, with varied implications.

The Political Landscape and Israeli Stance

It is crucial to note that the majority of Israelis do not support the two-state solution. This view is evident in the composition of the Israeli Knesset, where right-wing parties hold a significant majority (82 out of 120 seats oppose the two-state solution). Even among more moderate right-wing parties, there is reluctance to annex territories with a Palestinian majority.

Historically, if Israel had adhered to the pre-1967 lines and negotiated a transition leading to a two-state solution at a later date, it might have ensured a Jewish-majority country. However, Israel's missteps, marked by expansion into occupied territories and a “might makes right” mentality, have now contributed to the very scenario it sought to avoid.

The Consequences of Greater Israel

“Greater Israel” has brought about a situation where Israel cannot maintain a Jewish majority and risks transforming into a single state dominated by Arabs or Palestinians. The expansion of settlements into the West Bank is increasingly challenging the possibility of a two-state solution.

Apartheid, another possible outcome, has already begun to unfold. Regardless of whether the two-state or one-state solution is eventually realized, neither will fully align with the expectations of Zionists. If Israel truly desires a country that looks like a “Jewish” nation, it must abandon its occupation.

Conclusion

The pursuit of a one-state solution is not inevitable, but the current trajectory raises serious questions about Israel's future as a Jewish majority state. The challenges posed by continued expansion and the political dynamics within Israel and the region underscore the need for reconsideration and action.